The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Denizlispor 18.3%
Draw 23.2%
Fenerbahçe 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.6%
23.5%
57.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.1%
19.1%
71.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19%
9.5%
71.4%
Denizlispor - Fenerbahçe Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Denizlispor will win (votes: 8 - 19%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 57.7% – 85.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Denizlispor has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fenerbahçe has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (33%), has a chance of win league (16%).
Denizlispor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Fenerbahçe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Denizlispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Fenerbahçe have a series of home games.
In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Denizlispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Watch
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