Match Info

Super Lig - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	Laola1
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Claro Sports, Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Gençlerbirliği		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.61	Watch
	6.00	4.40	1.49
	5.11	3.69	1.63	Watch
	5.64	3.93	1.66
	5.55	3.97	1.61
	5.55	3.85	1.62
	5.45	4.1	1.66	Watch
	5	3.85	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↓ (5.63)	3.97 ↓ (4.33)	1.61 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
17.5%

Draw
23.8%

Fenerbahçe
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

21.2%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.1%	87.9%

Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Egribayat I. (G) 13. Pereira P. 6. Goutas D. (C) 4. Zuzek Z. 77. Dursun A. 14. Traore A. 42. Diabate O. 8. Kemaloglu E. 10. Tongya F. 35. Ulgun O. 20. Koita S.	13. Cetin T. (G) 18. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 22. Mercan L. 5. Yuksek I. 6. Guendouzi M. 17. Kahveci I. 10. Asensio M. 70. Aydin O. 94. Talisca
Substitutes
23. Akkan G. (G) 17. Aslan E. A. 99. Ayaz Ozcan F. 3. Aydar Y. 53. Cavusoglu M. 5. Etebo P. 18. Kyabou M. 45. Martor P. 48. Ucan S. 88. Uzum F.	7. Akturkoglu K. 3. Brown A. 14. Demir Y. E. 28. Elmaz B. 11. Greenwood M. 91. Kante N. 19. Muriqi V. 45. Nene D. 75. Sapaz K. (G) 27. Semedo N.
Coaches
Diyadin M.	Kartal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Talisca ⚽, Mercan L. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Tongya F. ⚽, Koita S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Ulgun O. ⚽, Dursun A. (A),
58', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
61', Yuksek I. ↓, Kante N. ↑,
61', Kahveci I. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
61', Asensio M. ↓, Muriqi V. ↑,
65', Aydin O. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
66', Kemaloglu E. ↓, Kyabou M. ↑,
76', Diabate O. ↓, Etebo P. ↑,
80', Muldur M. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
85', Dursun A. ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
86', Koita S. ↓, Martor P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 1.

Fenerbahçe is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gençlerbirliği may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Demir D. (Knee Injury) Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Onyekuru H. (Injury) Thalisson Kelven (Inactive)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Nene D. (Groin Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Ederson (Illness) Fayed O. (Injury) Musaba A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fenerbahce	7	4	1	2	19:6	13	13
11	Genclerbirligi	7	2	2	3	7:15	-8	8

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.47%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League
17.05.26	Trabzonspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.05.26	Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
09.05.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kasımpaşa	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLW
- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sturm Graz - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Fenerbahçe - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
21.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	LASK Linz - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Gençlerbirliği	3:1
31.08.25	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	1:3
Club Friendly
26.07.21	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	0:4
Turkish Super League
14.03.21	Fenerbahçe - Gençlerbirliği	1:2
21.11.20	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	1:5
07.07.20	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	1:1
06.12.19	Fenerbahçe - Gençlerbirliği	5:2

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