Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 22

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu (Denizli)

Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)


	Denizlispor		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.93
	3.6	3.15	1.94
	3.35	3.35	1.95
	3.99	3.52	1.95
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.72	3.52	1.85
	3.6	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizlispor
25.5%

Draw
27.1%

Manisa FK
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

24.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Denizlispor - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Denizlispor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Manisa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denizlispor: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Denizlispor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Manisa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Manisa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Manisa have a series of guest games.

Manisa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Denizlispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Denizlispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
23.01.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Denizlispor	3:1 ✺
13.01.23	Denizlispor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
24.12.22	Denizlispor - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
19.12.22	Adanaspor - Denizlispor	2:3 ✺
10.12.22	Denizlispor - Altay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LLWWW
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
14.01.23	Boluspor - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
24.12.22	Pendikspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
20.12.22	Antalyaspor - Manisa FK	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
17.12.22	Manisa FK - Tuzlaspor	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Göztepe - Manisa FK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.08.22	Manisa FK - Denizlispor	3:2
15.01.22	Denizlispor - Manisa FK	0:1
22.08.21	Manisa FK - Denizlispor	1:0

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