Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 21

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX


	Çaykur Rizespor		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.35	4.25	6.75
	1.36	4.3	7
	1.37	4.93	8.58
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.35	4.6	7.4
	1.38	4.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)	4.45 ↑ (3.7)	7.08 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
66.6%

Draw
20.5%

Denizlispor
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Çaykur Rizespor's performance.

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Çaykur Rizespor - Denizlispor Predictions

Users Predictions: Çaykur Rizespor will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rizespor won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rizespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rizespor have a series of guest games.

In this match Rizespor is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rizespor won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Rizespor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Cup
19.01.23	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
14.01.23	Keçiörengücü - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Altınordu - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
22.12.22	Adana Demirspor - Çaykur Rizespor	3:4 ET ✺
Turkish First League
16.12.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTWL
- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
13.01.23	Denizlispor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
24.12.22	Denizlispor - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
19.12.22	Adanaspor - Denizlispor	2:3 ✺
10.12.22	Denizlispor - Altay	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Samsunspor - Denizlispor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
22.08.22	Denizlispor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0
Turkish Super League
02.05.21	Denizlispor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1
10.01.21	Çaykur Rizespor - Denizlispor	1:1
28.06.20	Çaykur Rizespor - Denizlispor	2:2
23.11.19	Denizlispor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0
Club Friendly
12.01.19	Çaykur Rizespor - Denizlispor	2:1
Turkish First League
14.04.18	Denizlispor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0

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