Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Bahattin S. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 2


	Samsunspor		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.33
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.7	4.93
	1.78	3.7	4.93
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.83	3.87	4.53	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)	3.65 ↓ (3.76)	4.59 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
53.4%

Draw
26%

Pendikspor
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	26%	4%

Samsunspor - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 35 - 70%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 2 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 26%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 57.3% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. 5. Ozturk A. 4. Van Drongelen R. 28. Gonul S. 6. Ait Bennasser Y. 13. Tait F. 21. Holse C. 10. Ntcham O. 7. Fofana M. (C) 9. Marius	1. Canpolat E. (G) 61. Asan S. 23. Welinton 33. Ozturk A. 3. Tasdemir E. 66. Lusamba A. 18. Midtsjo F. 5. Ndiaye B. 11. Akbunar H. 17. Nayir U. 27. Thiam M.
Substitutes
48. Antalyali T. 16. Bola M. 88. Celik O. 22. Cift Y. E. 14. Dimata L. 98. Muja A. 36. Raman B. 17. Schindler K. 29. Szumski J. (G) 72. Tan M.	13. Akca M. 21. Diaby A. 90. Eze E. 58. Kaya G. 35. Ogur B. (G) 22. Ozgenc E. 14. Rassoul J. K. 25. Sayhan E. 15. Toy U. M. 99. Yardimci E.
Coaches
Gisdol M.	Uzulmez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Nayir U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Tait F. ↓, Antalyali T. ↑,
58', Fofana M. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
67', Nayir U. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
72', Ozturk A. ↓, Akca M. ↑,
72', Lusamba A. ↓, Kaya G. ↑,
85', Holse C. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
85', Marius ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
89', Diaby A. 🟨,
90+2', Raman B. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Recent matches Samsunspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pendikspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Samsunspor is a favorite.

There will not play in Samsunspor: Kilinc E. (Yellow Cards) Satka L. (Ankle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
17.03.24	Hatayspor - Samsunspor	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
23.02.24	Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gaziantep - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWT
- Pendikspor
Turkish Super League
15.03.24	Pendikspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	Pendikspor - Konyaspor	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Pendikspor - Trabzonspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.11.23	Pendikspor - Samsunspor	1:0
Turkish First League
01.04.23	Samsunspor - Pendikspor	4:2
29.10.22	Pendikspor - Samsunspor	0:2
Turkish Second League White Group
18.01.20	Pendikspor - Samsunspor	0:2
08.09.19	Samsunspor - Pendikspor	2:0

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