Match Info

CHILE: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 7

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Deportes Concepción		Deportes Valdivia

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.65	3.35	2.17
	2.77	3.16	2.42
	2.84	3.1	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.97)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
32.9%

Draw
28.2%

Deportes Valdivia
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

29.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Deportes Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Deportes Concepción - Deportes Valdivia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Deportes Concepción has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportes Valdivia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Deportes Valdivia to win the game is with odds 2.26.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
14.04.23	Deportes Concepción - San Antonio Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.04.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Concepción	2:1 penalties ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
26.03.23	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Concepción	4:3 ✺
19.03.23	Deportes Concepción - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:3 ✺
12.03.23	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Segunda Division
15.04.23	Deportes Valdivia - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.04.23	Deportes Valdivia - Provincial Osorno	2:3 penalties ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
26.03.23	General Velásquez - Deportes Valdivia	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Deportes Linares - Deportes Valdivia	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Melipilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
27.08.22	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción	1:0
29.05.22	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Valdivia	0:2
28.11.21	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Valdivia	1:1
23.08.21	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción	2:2

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