The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Copiapó 49.8%
Draw 26.7%
Deportes Puerto Montt 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
27.6%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
27.3%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Temperini N. (G) 4. Ortiz A. 13. Opazo D. 15. Santander J. 17. Kimura N. 20. Filla M. 11. Ortiz J. 21. Fernandez E. 28. Espoz F. 7. Ross C. 27. Lopez M.
29. Collao G. (G) 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 17. Nieto B. 26. Mancilla N. 6. Diaz D. 16. Flores J. 22. Jaime J. 8. Paredes R. 9. Vazquez L. 34. Gonzalez K.
Substitutes
16. Espinoza Olave S. A. 31. Fuenzalida I. 10. Ledezma I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 9. Palacios L. 3. Suarez N. 5. Torres F.
5. Calisto F. 14. Cardenas J. 24. Gonzalez J. 28. Perez S. 18. Sabella A. 19. Taiva B. 13. Ureta L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
45+3', Mancilla N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Ortiz J. ⚽,
60', Vazquez L. ↓, Taiva B. ↑,
60', Jaime J. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
68', Ross C. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
68', Ortiz J. ↓, Ledezma I. ↑,
71', Diaz D. ↓, Calisto F. ↑,
79', Flores J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
81', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
81', Espoz F. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
83', Fernandez E. 🟨,
84', Morales A. 🟨,
86', 3 - 0, Palacios L. ⚽,
88', Lopez M. ↓, Suarez N. ↑,
88', Fernandez E. ↓, Espinoza Olave S. A. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 3.
Recent form of Copiapó has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Puerto Montt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Copiapó is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Copiapó won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
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Temperini N. (G) 
Ortiz A. 
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