Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 22

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros (Recoleta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Recoleta		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	2.90
	2.28	3.10	2.80
	2.12	3.39	3.21
	2.15	3.45	3.19	Watch
	2.05	3.45	3.10
	2.17	3.51	3.10
	2.11	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.35)	3.32 ↑ (3.13)	3.05 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Recoleta
42.5%

Draw
27.5%

Deportes Copiapó
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Copiapó will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Salazar A. (G) 28. Rodriguez C. 5. Alarcon F. 4. Tomarelli F. 14. Lara I. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Provoste B. 21. Alvarez G. 19. Sanchez P. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 20. Gonzalez C.	22. Temperini N. (G) 20. Filla M. 4. Ortiz A. (C) 29. Sanchez S. 3. Suarez N. 17. Kimura N. 6. Zamorano C. 8. Rios A. 21. Fernandez E. 9. Palacios L. 27. Lopez M.
Substitutes
10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 27. Flores F. 8. Martin F. 13. Narr J. (G) 33. Riveros R. 11. Viveros D.	28. Espoz F. 31. Fuenzalida I. 10. Ledezma I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 13. Opazo D. 26. Perez G. 7. Ross C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Sanchez P. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Sanchez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Estigarribia G. ⚽,
62', Espinoza J. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
69', Fernandez E. ↓, Ledezma I. ↑,
71', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
72', Rios A. 🟨,
77', Gonzalez C. ↓, Martin F. ↑,
77', Sanchez P. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
80', Kimura N. ↓, Ross C. ↑,
83', Alvarez G. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
83', Rodriguez C. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
85', Rios A. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
90+5', Suarez N. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recoleta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Recoleta	26	11	8	7	38:34	4	41
8	Copiapo	26	10	7	9	40:39	1	37

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Recoleta - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.08.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - Rangers de Talca	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	Unión Española - Deportes Recoleta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTLL
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.08.26	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	4:0 ✺
13.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Copiapó	4:0 ✺
09.08.26	Deportes Copiapó - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapó	1:4 ✺
26.07.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapó	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.04.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	2:4
04.10.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Copiapó	0:1
24.05.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	3:0
29.08.22	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	3:2
15.04.22	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Copiapó	3:1

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