Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 21

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)


	Deportes Iquique		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.08	3.4	3
	2.32	3.52	2.88
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.24	3.46	2.85	Watch
	2.18	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.93)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.88 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
41.3%

Draw
27.1%

Universidad de Concepción
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

28.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Iquique's form might have worsened.

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Concepción's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Iquique, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Concepción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Deportes Iquique - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Castillo D. (G) 26. Ledesma F. 33. Sanhueza M. 30. Blazquez M. 23. Duran V. 13. Navarro L. 10. Fernandez R. 15. Carreno J. 14. Pinto M. 11. Ramos A. (C) 31. Gonzalez I.	1. Garcia M. (C) 4. Lauler G. 14. Orellana F. 23. Gonzalez R. 27. Molina L. 33. Gonzalez O. 7. Molina S. 19. Gonzalez D. 6. Medel K. 24. Donoso M. 10. Perez Azambuya E. M.
Substitutes
22. Delgado A. 17. Gonzalez C. 7. Moya J. 20. Orellana D. 8. Pino S. 25. Reyes M. (G) 4. Rojas D.	15. Astudillo H. 17. Diaz S. 34. Gallegos S. 11. Ibanez I. 2. Saldias J. 21. Sanhueza Esparza P. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Iquique won 1.

Recent matches Deportes Iquique is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad de Concepción is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad de Concepción could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportes Iquique will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Deportes Iquique won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 29-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Iquique won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.07.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
21.07.23	Deportes Iquique - Barnechea	2:3 ✺
14.07.23	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Iquique	0:1 ✺
07.07.23	Deportes Iquique - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.06.23	Deportes Iquique - San Marcos de Arica	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWL
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.07.23	Universidad de Concepción - Cobreloa	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
27.07.23	Deportes Temuco - Universidad de Concepción	0:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.07.23	Deportes Santa Cruz - Universidad de Concepción	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
18.07.23	Universidad de Concepción - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.07.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.03.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Iquique	1:1
25.09.22	Deportes Iquique - Universidad de Concepción	1:2
29.04.22	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Iquique	2:2
08.10.21	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Iquique	3:1
06.06.21	Deportes Iquique - Universidad de Concepción	5:1
Chilean Primera Division
16.12.20	Deportes Iquique - Universidad de Concepción	4:0
15.10.20	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Iquique	1:1

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