Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 19

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)


	Deportes Iquique		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.85	3.5	3.48
	2	3.4	3.2
	1.86	3.65	3.66	Watch
	1.84	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	3.44 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
47.9%

Draw
25.8%

Barnechea
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Deportes Iquique - Barnechea Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportes Iquique will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Castillo D. (G) 18. Salinas Flores H. 22. Delgado A. 23. Duran V. 7. Moya J. 13. Navarro L. 20. Orellana D. 33. Sanhueza M. 8. Pino S. 11. Ramos A. 31. Gonzalez I.	1. Salazar A. (G) 3. Rodriguez J. 6. Alucema G. 25. Cubillos G. 26. Ulloa D. 8. Romo J. 20. Carvajal E. 32. Rencoret C. 7. Bravo C. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 28. Herrera I. (C)
Substitutes
30. Blazquez M. 15. Carreno J. 10. Fernandez R. 26. Ledesma F. 14. Pinto M. 40. Puch E. 38. Rodriguez A.	5. Incorvaia L. 21. Marin C. 14. Moya G. 18. Sagredo B. 12. Salas S. (G) 31. Sepulveda N. 23. Visaguirre M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Iquique won 1.

Deportes Iquique is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barnechea is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportes Iquique will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Deportes Iquique won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Iquique won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.07.23	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Iquique	0:1 ✺
07.07.23	Deportes Iquique - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.06.23	Deportes Iquique - San Marcos de Arica	0:4 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.06.23	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Iquique	2:3 ✺
04.06.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWT
- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.07.23	Barnechea - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
30.06.23	Unión Española - Barnechea	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.06.23	Barnechea - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
01.06.23	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.03.23	Barnechea - Deportes Iquique	0:0
10.10.22	Deportes Iquique - Barnechea	0:2
11.05.22	Barnechea - Deportes Iquique	6:2
05.09.21	Deportes Iquique - Barnechea	4:2
03.05.21	Barnechea - Deportes Iquique	3:1
Chilean Primera Division
13.02.15	Barnechea - Deportes Iquique	1:0
31.08.14	Deportes Iquique - Barnechea	1:0

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