Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)


	Universidad de Concepción		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.62	3.05	2.62
	2.67	3.12	2.66
	2.70	2.98	2.70	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.67	3.15	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.43)	3.07 ↓ (3.17)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
34.9%

Draw
30%

Cobreloa
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Universidad de Concepción - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Uni de Concepción (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Concepción (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Meza I. 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 18. Ubal B. 6. Cordero R. 16. Ogaz B. 7. Molina S. (C) 11. Gonzalez I. 21. Benitez F. 22. Rojas L.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 17. Tapia D. 33. Heredia A. 21. Muga C. 30. Ledezma I. 32. Zuniga S. 40. Guzman R. 7. Gotti G. 15. Valdes A. 42. Jara A.
Substitutes
2. Bejar L. 24. Canessa O. 10. Fuentealba J. 28. Herrera I. 9. Levato M. 30. Saez B. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)	25. Acevedo D. 24. Garcia L. 18. Melendez J. 23. Navarrete G. 41. Provoste B. 16. Romero P. 31. Salazar A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Jara A. ⚽,
32', Valdes A. 🟨,
45+1', Guzman R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cordero R. ↓, Levato M. ↑,
50', Rojas L. 🟨,
60', Benitez F. ↓, Fuentealba J. ↑,
60', Molina S. ↓, Herrera I. ↑,
63', Heredia A. 🟨,
64', Araya Tobar H. E. 🟨,
66', Ledezma I. ↓, Provoste B. ↑,
67', Zuniga S. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
68', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
70', Ubal B. 🟨,
78', Levato M. 🟨,
81', Tapia D. 🟨,
83', Valdes A. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
85', Medina C. ↓, Bejar L. ↑,
86', Jara A. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
90', Ogaz B. ↓, Canessa O. ↑,
90+2', Bejar L. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.07.25	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Concepción	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Universidad de Concepción - Santiago Wanderers	0:3 ✺
05.07.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Deportes Temuco - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWT
- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.07.25	Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Cobreloa - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
01.07.25	Deportes Limache - Cobreloa	3:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.06.25	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.03.25	Cobreloa - Universidad de Concepción	0:2
31.07.23	Universidad de Concepción - Cobreloa	3:3
14.03.23	Cobreloa - Universidad de Concepción	2:1
11.07.22	Cobreloa - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
24.02.22	Universidad de Concepción - Cobreloa	0:2
01.09.21	Universidad de Concepción - Cobreloa	0:0
26.04.21	Cobreloa - Universidad de Concepción	2:4

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