Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday


	Deportes Melipilla		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.55	3.15	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.98
	3.99	3.49	2.01
	3.7	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.64	3.54	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	3.39 ↑ (3.28)	2 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
25.9%

Draw
27.5%

Audax Italiano
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.1%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.8%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Melipilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audax Italiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Melipilla - Audax Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Melipilla has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Audax Italiano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audax Italiano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Primera Division
15.09.21	Palestino - Deportes Melipilla	3:1 ✺
07.09.21	Deportes Melipilla - Unión Española	0:3 ✺
28.08.21	Ñublense - Deportes Melipilla	3:0 ✺
25.08.21	Deportes Melipilla - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Deportes Melipilla - Huachipato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
12.09.21	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	2:3 ✺
07.09.21	Universidad Católica - Audax Italiano	3:1 ✺
30.08.21	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
26.08.21	Deportes La Serena - Audax Italiano	0:2 ✺
21.08.21	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
26.04.21	Audax Italiano - Deportes Melipilla	1:0

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