Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 23

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Millas N. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Audax Italiano		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.30	2.40	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.40
	2.60	3.35	2.60	Watch
	2.82	3.40	2.60
	2.61	3.35	2.61	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.65
	2.81	3.43	2.54	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.25)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	2.53 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
34.8%

Draw
28%

OHiggins
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OHiggins's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OHiggins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Audax Italiano - OHiggins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 35. Rebolledo R. 13. Ferrario E. 29. Ortiz M. 3. Salomoni F. 7. Guajardo P. 8. Collao M. (C) 19. Pinares C. 21. Chiaverano G. 11. Troyansky F. 9. Coelho D.	31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 22. Robledo A. (C) 21. Garrido N. 6. Pavez L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 25. Schor I. 28. Bou W. 29. Yanez B. 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
27. Fuentes M. 25. Garrido P. (G) 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 22. Pizarro D. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 6. Sandoval M. 30. Uribe A. 2. Zenteno V.	17. Aviles T. 23. Carreno D. (G) 20. Diaz L. 2. Morales C. 27. Movillo J. 13. Munoz J. 30. Tapia J. 7. Toloza S. 32. Vecino T.
Coaches
Graff P.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Schor I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Chiaverano G. ⚽,
40', Rebolledo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Schor I. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
49', Pavez L. 🟨,
65', Yanez B. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
66', Guajardo P. 🟨,
72', Chiaverano G. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
74', Ferrario E. 🟨,
74', Castillo A. 🟨,
78', Guajardo P. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
83', Felipe Ogaz ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
83', Leiva J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
90+2', Troyansky F. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
90+2', Fuentes M. 🟨,
90+4', Rebolledo R. ↓, Rojas Munoz O. J. ↑,
90+11', Loyola F. 🟥,
90+13', Pavez L. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Audax Italiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	A. Italiano	23	7	7	9	26:31	-5	28
13	O'Higgins	23	8	3	12	28:36	-8	27

Last Results with these Odds

Audax Italiano - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
04.09.26	Deportes Concepción - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Colo-Colo - Audax Italiano	5:1 ✺
21.08.26	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Everton de Viña - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
10.08.26	Audax Italiano - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTTT
- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
06.09.26	OHiggins - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Universidad Católica - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.08.26	OHiggins - Palestino	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
03.04.26	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	2:1
30.08.25	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	3:2
12.04.25	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	1:0
30.09.24	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	2:0
05.05.24	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	0:5
03.09.23	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	2:1
Chilean Cup
03.07.23	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	0:2

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