The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 33.5%
Draw 28.3%
Audax Italiano 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
25.6%
48.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
25.5%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Audax Italiano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Audax Italiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Deportes La Serena - Audax Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 5. Alarcon L. 14. Chamorro F. 33. Delgado R. 8. Escalante G. (C) 21. Gutierrez B. 9. Henriquez A. 28. Orellana J. 11. Rubio D. 17. Salazar Y. 34. Stefanelli N.
1. Ahumada T. (G) 21. Chiaverano G. 9. Coelho D. 8. Collao M. (C) 13. Ferrario E. 33. Fuenzalida I. 23. Matus E. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 2. Zenteno V.
Substitutes
30. Carvajal A. 24. Diaz A. 6. Diaz S. 16. Gutierrez J. 23. Marin M. 19. Sandoval B. 27. Sepulveda C. 31. Tapia J. (G) 10. Vargas J.
30. Ahumada J. 10. Cabral R. 27. Fuentes M. 25. Garrido P. (G) 7. Guajardo P. 20. Jimenez M. 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 6. Sandoval M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Escalante G. ⚽,
7', Fuenzalida I. 🟨,
8', 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Fuenzalida I. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Stefanelli N. ⚽, Escalante G. (A),
45+2', Henriquez A. 🟨,
45+2', Orellana J. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 2 - 3, Fuentes M. ⚽,
64', 2 - 4, Fuenzalida I. ⚽,
84', Alarcon L. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2.
In recent matches, Deportes La Serena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Audax Italiano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.4:2.2).
Watch
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Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 
Delgado R. 
Coelho D. 
Diaz A. 
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