Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Soinca Bata (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Provincial Ovalle

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.06	3.23	3.45
	2.12	3.23	3.34	Watch
	2.04	3.36	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	3.29 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
44.1%

Draw
28%

Provincial Ovalle
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Santelices L. (G) 10. Becica A. 27. Caceres B. 30. Demateis V. 3. Flores E. 4. Fuentes B. 7. Inostroza B. 17. Magana C. 23. Martinez L. 6. Rodriguez M. 9. Vargas L.	12. Orellana G. (G) 24. Avila M. 23. Barrios N. 15. Cortes A. 21. Guerrero E. 28. Harding G. 14. Monardes D. 10. Moreira L. 29. Novero G. 5. Rivera N. 16. Solano B.
Substitutes
16. Arenas F. 25. Basaure N. 1. Chacon T. (G) 36. Cofre D. 13. Escalona Armijo M. 5. Millalen E. 20. Sepulveda G.	1. Abarzua F. (G) 22. Bravo D. 3. Cisternas T. 7. Leger L. 4. Navarrete E. 13. Ortiz J. 17. Silva Gaunes L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Fuentes B. 🟨,
23', Guerrero E. ↓, Navarrete E. ↑,
40', Millalen E. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Inostroza B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Vargas L. 🟨,
59', Solano B. 🟨,
70', Caceres B. 🟨,
71', Moreira L. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
76', Becica A. ↓, Arenas F. ↑,
77', Santelices L. 🟨,
83', Inostroza B. ↓, Sepulveda G. ↑,
90+3', Vargas L. ↓, Basaure N. ↑,
90+4', Arenas F. 🟨,
90+6', Solano B. 🟨,
90+6', Basaure N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2).

Ovalle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Melipilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melipilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melipilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Melipilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Provincial Ovalle - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.01%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
17.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - General Velásquez	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Concón National - Deportes Melipilla	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno	3:0 ✺
22.06.25	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
24.08.25	Provincial Ovalle - General Velásquez	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Provincial Osorno - Provincial Ovalle	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Provincial Ovalle - San Antonio Unido	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Santiago City - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
17.04.25	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla	1:2
06.10.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla	1:3
11.05.24	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle	1:1

Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide