Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 14

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Soinca Bata (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Provincial Osorno

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.02	3.55	3
	2.04	3.7	3.16
	1.44	4.63	5.79	Watch
	1.98	3.58	3.18
	2.25	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.17)	3.73 ↑ (3.59)	3.46 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
47.7%

Draw
25.2%

Provincial Osorno
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Melipilla's performance.

Provincial Osorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Provincial Osorno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Santelices L. (G) 16. Arenas F. 25. Basaure N. 27. Caceres B. 30. Demateis V. 4. Fuentes B. 7. Inostroza B. 17. Magana C. 23. Martinez L. 6. Rodriguez M. 9. Vargas L.	1. Matamala D. (G) 4. Ambiado A. 9. Bielkiewicz D. 20. Castro G. 21. Fuentes P. 8. Gutierrez J. 32. Lauler G. 31. Maureira M. 29. Meneses L. 25. Namoncura S. 18. Suazo Y.
Substitutes
15. Becerra V. 1. Chacon T. (G) 8. Cruz Y. 2. Gutierrez C. 24. Luarte G. 5. Millalen E. 33. Valencia M.	34. Ascui S. 12. Faundez H. (G) 7. Fuenzalida R. 23. Melo B. 6. Orellana F. 10. Orellana M. 2. Vicencio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Caceres B. ⚽,
32', Namoncura S. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Vargas L. (Pen),
40', Lauler G. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arenas F. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
46', Fuentes P. ↓, Orellana F. ↑,
46', Maureira M. ↓, Fuenzalida R. ↑,
47', Inostroza B. 🟨,
49', Fuenzalida R. 🟨,
67', Fuentes B. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).

Melipilla is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Melipilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melipilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melipilla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Melipilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
22.06.25	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago City	3:0 ✺
08.06.25	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Melipilla	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.06.25	Deportes Melipilla - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
01.06.25	Deportes Melipilla - Trasandino de Los Andes	4:0 ✺
25.05.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Melipilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWL
- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
06.07.25	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Provincial Osorno - Brujas Salamanca	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Santiago City - Provincial Osorno	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Deportes Rengo - Provincial Osorno	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
01.03.25	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	3:1
12.10.24	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno	3:1
18.05.24	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	3:3
23.09.23	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Melipilla	1:0
14.05.23	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno	2:2

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