Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 17

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta (Osorno)


	Provincial Osorno		Provincial Ovalle

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.12	3.2	3.05
	2.12	3.32	3.21
	1.37	4.83	7.01	Watch
	2.11	3.2	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)	3.55 ↑ (3.24)	3.89 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Osorno
48.6%

Draw
26.9%

Provincial Ovalle
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provincial Osorno's performance.

Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Provincial Ovalle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Provincial Osorno - Provincial Ovalle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Provincial Osorno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Provincial Osorno (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Provincial Osorno (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matamala D. (G) 4. Ambiado A. 9. Bielkiewicz D. 20. Castro G. 8. Gutierrez J. 32. Lauler G. 6. Orellana F. 36. Padernera G. 33. Sanguinetti F. 18. Suazo Y. 3. Valenzuela F.	12. Orellana G. (G) 20. Bobadilla S. 2. Bravo S. 11. Cortes B. 21. Guerrero E. 28. Harding G. 18. Mundaca K. 8. Pavez J. 5. Rivera N. 27. Serrano K. 16. Solano B.
Substitutes
11. Ayala Rodriguez S. A. 12. Faundez H. (G) 21. Fuentes P. 23. Melo B. 29. Meneses L. 25. Namoncura S. 17. Soto C.	1. Abarzua F. (G) 23. Barrios N. 7. Leger L. 10. Moreira L. 4. Navarrete E. 29. Novero G. 13. Ortiz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bielkiewicz D. ⚽,
9', Sanguinetti F. 🟨,
14', Bobadilla S. 🟨,
19', Valenzuela F. ↓, Meneses L. ↑,
21', Mundaca K. 🟥,
25', Pedernera G. 🟨,
45', Orellana F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Cortes B. 🟨,
49', Serrano K. 🟥,
51', 🟨,
56', Bobadilla S. ↓, Novero G. ↑,
56', Cortes B. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
62', Ambiado A. ↓, Melo B. ↑,
62', Pedernera G. ↓, Namoncura S. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Sanguinetti F. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
71', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Soto C. ↑,
71', Castro G. ↓, Ayala Rodriguez S. A. ↑,
84', Suazo Y. 🟨,
85', Harding G. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2).

Provincial Osorno is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Provincial Osorno could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Provincial Osorno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Provincial Osorno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
03.08.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Provincial Osorno	3:1 ✺
26.07.25	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Osorno	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Provincial Osorno - Brujas Salamanca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLW
- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
02.08.25	Provincial Ovalle - San Antonio Unido	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Santiago City - Provincial Ovalle	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Rengo	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Provincial Ovalle - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Brujas Salamanca - Provincial Ovalle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
29.03.25	Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno	1:0
10.08.24	Provincial Osorno - Provincial Ovalle	2:1
31.03.24	Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno	4:2

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