The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 26.7%
Draw 29.4%
Ñublense 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
28.9%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
27.9%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Deportes Puerto Montt - Ñublense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ñublense will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 17. Nieto B. 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 31. Nanning C. 6. Diaz D. 10. Vargas C. 18. Sabella A. 16. Flores J. 34. Gonzalez K. 8. Paredes R.
1. Perez N. (C) 6. Calderon P. 3. Salomon C. 27. Guzman V. 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 10. Plaza M. 18. Cespedes D. 23. Gonzalez J. 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 11. Molina Canto L.
Substitutes
36. Ascui E. (G) 14. Cardenas J. 23. Castillo G. 11. Castro R. 15. Egana K. 26. Mancilla N. 38. Naguil Y. 28. Perez S. 9. Vazquez L.
26. Calderon E. 14. Campusano J. 35. Mansilla C. 36. Munoz B. 25. Munoz H. (G) 31. Poblete J. 13. Saavedra D. 19. Tapia I. 22. Valdes A.
Coaches
Mancilla E.
Ribera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Salomon C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vargas C. ↓, Egana K. ↑,
46', Nanning C. ↓, Castillo G. ↑,
58', Riveros M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Sabella A. ⚽, Nieto B. (A),
65', Guzman V. ↓, Campusano J. ↑,
65', Molina Canto L. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
65', Ovelar F. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Flores J. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
76', Paredes R. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
76', Diaz D. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
77', Plaza M. ↓, Mansilla C. ↑,
77', Gonzalez J. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
81', Flores J. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 1.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Ñublense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Ñublense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Montt has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:22 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Montt against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Ñublense - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.63%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Ureta L. (G) 
Morales A. 
Perez N. (C) 
Ovelar F. 
Castro R. 
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