The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 24%
Draw 25.7%
San Luis de Quillota 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
29.4%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
29.2%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Puerto Montt's form might have worsened.
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Luis de Quillota's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Puerto Montt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Luis de Quillota, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Deportes Puerto Montt - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 1 - 20%). San Luis will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Collao G. (G) 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 5. Calisto F. 17. Nieto B. 35. Rojas L. A. 6. Diaz D. 14. Cardenas J. 18. Sabella A. 28. Perez S. 8. Paredes R.
12. Abarzua F. (G) 3. Meza I. 4. Duran V. 6. Munoz L. 13. Munoz Alister N. 18. Avello G. 5. Torres J. 21. Pastenes F. 34. Catalan D. 10. Parada S. 11. Carreno M.
Substitutes
23. Castillo G. 15. Egana K. 16. Flores J. 26. Mancilla N. 30. Negrete S. 13. Ureta L. (G) 9. Vazquez L.
22. Bustos G. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 9. Madrigal G. 1. Peranic N. (G) 31. Pinilla Y. 7. Vergara S. 32. Villegas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Pastenes F. ⚽,
17', Sabella A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rojas L. A. ↓, Castillo G. ↑,
46', Calisto F. ↓, Egana K. ↑,
57', Sabella A. ↓, Negrete S. ↑,
59', Perez S. 🟨,
63', Perez S. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
73', Torres J. 🟨,
74', Catalan D. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
80', Carreno M. ↓, Vergara S. ↑,
80', Pastenes F. ↓, Pinilla Y. ↑,
81', Cardenas J. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
83', Meza I. 🟨,
89', Parada S. ↓, Madrigal G. ↑,
90+3', Paredes R. 🟥,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 1.
Puerto Montt is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Luis is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Montt has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Montt against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).