The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Iquique 47.2%
Draw 26.6%
San Luis de Quillota 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
27.6%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
28%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Iquique's performance.
San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luis de Quillota might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Iquique that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luis de Quillota could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Deportes Iquique - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 3 - 75%). San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Castillo D. (G) 20. Orellana D. 26. Ledesma F. 5. Concha V. 21. Espinoza F. 18. Garrido B. 23. Pereyra J. 8. Venezia A. 7. Jones T. 11. Ramos A. (C) 17. Gonzalez C.
12. Abarzua F. (G) 18. Avello G. 13. Munoz Alister N. 3. Meza I. 4. Duran V. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 6. Munoz L. 5. Torres J. 21. Pastenes F. 10. Parada S. (C) 7. Vergara S.
Substitutes
15. Ayala J. 16. Contreras S. 31. Diaz I. 27. Henriquez A. 6. Lopez M. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 14. Rojas D.
41. Araya I. 11. Carreno M. 19. Gonzalez D. 9. Madrigal G. 1. Peranic N. (G) 27. Plaza G. 32. Villegas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guerra Rojas M. ↓, Carreno M. ↑,
46', Vergara S. ↓, Madrigal G. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Parada S. ⚽,
53', Torres J. 🟨,
58', Torres J. ↓, Plaza G. ↑,
62', Jones T. ↓, Ayala J. ↑,
64', Plaza G. 🟨,
69', Gonzalez C. ↓, Contreras S. ↑,
70', Pereyra J. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
75', Pastenes F. ↓, Villegas A. ↑,
76', Munoz L. 🟨,
78', Ramos A. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
78', Venezia A. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
84', Munoz L. 🟨,
90+6', Parada S. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90+7', Orellana D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 2.
Deportes Iquique is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Luis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes Iquique is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
12
Deportes Iquique
26
7
10
9
35:30
5
31
Last Results with these Odds
San Luis de Quillota - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.