Match Info

CHILE: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday


	Deportes Valdivia		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.35	2.32
	2.52	3.4	2.51
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.61	3.25	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.22)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.47 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Valdivia
35.7%

Draw
27.7%

Deportes Concepción
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27.1%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Valdivia's form might have worsened.

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Concepción's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Valdivia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Valdivia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Concepción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 11).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Deportes Concepción could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportes Valdivia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Valdivia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Valdivia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Valdivia
Chilean Segunda Division
13.08.23	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Valdivia	1:4 ✺
05.08.23	Deportes Valdivia - General Velásquez	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Linares	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Valdivia	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	Deportes Valdivia - San Antonio Unido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WTWWT
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
12.08.23	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Concepción	1:3 ✺
06.08.23	Deportes Concepción - Provincial Osorno	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Concepción	1:3 ✺
23.07.23	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Concepción	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
23.04.23	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Valdivia	1:2
27.08.22	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción	1:0
29.05.22	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Valdivia	0:2
28.11.21	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Valdivia	1:1
23.08.21	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción	2:2

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