Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Deportes Concepción		Lautaro de Buin

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.64	3.91	4.39
	1.55	3.6	4.75
	1.64	3.73	4.88
	1.6	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	4.71 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
56.7%

Draw
24.1%

Lautaro de Buin
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lautaro de Buin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro de Buin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+5', 1 - 0, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,
85', 🟥,
89', 4 - 0, Astudillo F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Concepción won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Deportes Concepción is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Deportes Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
05.05.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWW
- Lautaro de Buin
Chilean Segunda Division
06.05.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	General Velásquez - Lautaro de Buin	6:2 ✺
21.04.24	Provincial Osorno - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Lautaro de Buin - Trasandino de Los Andes	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Rengo - Lautaro de Buin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
23.07.23	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	2:0
12.03.23	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	1:0
25.09.22	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	2:0
12.06.22	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	0:0
04.10.21	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	3:0
02.02.21	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	0:1

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