Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Deportiva Venados		Deportivo Dongu

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.78	3.7	3.6
	1.81	3.76	3.67
	1.76	3.82	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)	3.72 ↓ (3.74)	3.69 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportiva Venados
51.1%

Draw
24.4%

Deportivo Dongu
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportiva Venados's performance.

Deportivo Dongu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Dongu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportiva Venados that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Dongu than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Dongu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportiva Venados - Deportivo Dongu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 4).

Deportiva Venados is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dongu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportiva Venados could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportiva Venados will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportiva Venados won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.02.23	Leviatán - Deportiva Venados	0:5 ✺
11.02.23	Deportiva Venados - Pachuca 2	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	1:0 ✺
27.01.23	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Deportiva Venados	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Deportiva Venados - Real de Arteaga	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLTW
- Deportivo Dongu
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.02.23	Escorpiones - Deportivo Dongu	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Deportivo Dongu - Yalmakán	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Deportivo Dongu - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Canamy - Deportivo Dongu	2:3 pen. ✺
07.01.23	Deportivo Dongu - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.10.22	Deportivo Dongu - Deportiva Venados	2:1

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