Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Deportiva Venados		Montañeses

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.85	4.32
	1.26	5.77	8.55	Watch
	1.71	3.86	3.92	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	4.25 ↑ (3.5)	4.97 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportiva Venados
57.9%

Draw
22.7%

Montañeses
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportiva Venados's performance.

Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montañeses might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportiva Venados that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montañeses could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportiva Venados - Montañeses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportiva Venados won 2.

Deportiva Venados is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montañeses's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportiva Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportiva Venados could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportiva Venados won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportiva Venados won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
03.10.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Deportiva Venados - Héroes de Zaci	3:2 penalties ✺
20.09.25	Celaya - Deportiva Venados	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Deportiva Venados - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Racing de Veracruz - Deportiva Venados	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWWL
- Montañeses FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.10.25	Montañeses - Neza	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Dragones Toluca - Montañeses	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Montañeses - Cañoneros Marina	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Montañeses	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Montañeses - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	0:0
10.11.24	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	0:1
20.04.24	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	4:2
19.11.23	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	1:0
05.02.23	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	1:0
17.09.22	Deportiva Venados - Montañeses	0:2

Deportiva Venados - Montañeses: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide