Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)


	Celaya		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.77	2.16
	2.05	3.49	3.25	Watch
	2.55	3.74	2.22	Watch
	1.91	3.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.92)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	2.75 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
41.3%

Draw
25.1%

Deportiva Venados
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportiva Venados's recent form is better than expected.

Celaya - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', (Pen),
73', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 6)

Celaya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.09.25	Neza - Celaya	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Celaya - Dragones Toluca	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	Cañoneros Marina - Celaya	4:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.04.25	Celaya - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Jaiba Brava - Celaya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.09.25	Deportiva Venados - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Racing de Veracruz - Deportiva Venados	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Deportiva Venados - Tapachula Soconusco	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Aguacateros de Peribán - Deportiva Venados	4:1 ✺
20.04.25	Deportiva Venados - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLT

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