The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo A Coruña 44%
Draw 29.3%
Espanyol 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
29.6%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
30.2%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo A Coruña's performance.
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espanyol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo A Coruña that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Deportivo A Coruña - Espanyol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Teixeira Pereira I. (G) 2. Caracas D. 4. Ranera A. 3. Vazquez E. 17. Montesinos V. 8. Rodriguez O. 16. Fernandez P. 14. Rivas L. 19. Pardo L. 9. Pizarro E. 10. Millene (C)
13. Munoz M. (G) 35. Domenech A. 15. Ojeda P. 18. Garcia Yague R. 5. Vallejo L. (C) 11. Baradad O. 6. Torras M. 12. Bicho 7. Lacosta I. 16. Gutierrez P. 9. Anita
Substitutes
18. Apostol F. 23. Barth M. 32. Bermejo K. 15. Dominguez S. 26. Hernandez P. 11. Monteagudo P. 7. Nieto E. 5. Saborido P. 31. Veiga A. (G)
10. Baudet C. 22. Browne P. 24. Escot N. 21. Guerra J. 55. Medina V. 3. Rodriguez C. 14. Velazquez Jurico A.
Coaches
Rodriguez A.
Monforte S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Bicho 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Lacosta I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Ojeda P. 🟥,
58', Pardo L. 🟨,
59', Lacosta I. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
59', Anita ↓, Browne P. ↑,
60', Caracas D. ↓, Dominguez S. ↑,
66', Bicho ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
69', Rivas L. ↓, Apostol F. ↑,
69', Fernandez P. ↓, Barth M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Millene ⚽, Apostol F. (A),
78', Baradad O. ↓, Baudet C. ↑,
84', Pardo L. ↓, Bermejo K. ↑,
84', Rodriguez O. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1.
Deportivo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Espanyol has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportivo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Deportivo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:18 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 14:8 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).
Spain
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Teixeira Pereira I. (G) 
Caracas D. 
Ranera A. 
Pizarro E. 
Millene (C) 
Apostol F. 
Barth M. 
Dominguez S. 
Browne P. 
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