The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Alavés 35.8%
Draw 28.7%
Sevilla 35.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
28.4%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
27.9%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fuente S. (G) 2. Parera L. 5. Juan I. (C) 21. Pichi 23. Vidal J. 7. Sobron C. 12. Kim Shin-Ji 6. Lopez N. 15. Brima K. Z. 11. Gomez A. 20. Guallar A.
1. Sullastres E. (C) 30. Lopez A. 24. Marques A. 16. Arnaiz I. 7. Morcillo R. 6. Redondo A. 23. Castello S. 22. Blanco C. 20. Marquez R. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 8. Alvarez A.
Substitutes
17. Ait El Haj H. 4. Amaya 8. Brasero-Carreira S. 14. Celia 19. Diaz Y. 24. Izal M. 10. Navajas L. 13. Polozen S. (G) 9. Reyes 16. Rivero A. 18. Viles E.
4. Alvarez I. 35. Barrios X. 10. Blom J. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 34. Ferrer C. 21. Gili Giner G. 33. Sierra M.
Coaches
Esteban Catalan A.
Losada D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Lopez N. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Marquez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sobron C. ↓, Ait El Haj H. ↑,
46', Vidal J. ↓, Izal M. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Guallar A. ⚽, Izal M. (A),
56', Gomez A. ↓, Navajas L. ↑,
70', Blanco C. ↓, Blom J. ↑,
70', Martin-Pozuelo E. ↓, Barrios X. ↑,
76', Brima K. Z. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
81', Juan I. 🟨,
85', Alvarez A. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
88', Kim Shin-Ji ↓, Brasero-Carreira S. ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 13th and 11th).
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Alavés has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alavés against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).