Match Info

Primera B - Round 23

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Armenia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Armenio		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	2.75	3.75
	1.92	2.88	4.15
	1.98	2.95	4.3
	2.03	2.86	3.98	Watch
	1.9	2.9	4.25
	1.99	2.94	4.4
	1.91	2.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.25)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)	4.13 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Armenio
46.3%

Draw
31.7%

Brown de Adrogué
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

30.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Armenio's performance.

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brown de Adrogué might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deportivo Armenio - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Armenio will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Armenio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 11. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 5. Tello F. 7. Villalva L.	1. Wysocki M. (G) 2. Aguirre C. (C) 9. Baez B. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Cesare L. 10. Guerrero B. 11. Lopez B. 3. Ortiz A. 5. Robles E. 6. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J.
Substitutes
15. Aguirre E. 17. Balceda M. 16. Gerez R. 14. Gomez C. 19. Herrera Jonathan N. 13. Marchesini F. 12. Mugica J. (G) 20. Palma L. 18. Perez O.	14. Bogado J. 17. Ferrario F. 19. Galeano V. 18. Galvan L. 12. Giovini S. (G) 20. Meaurio N. 16. Noble 15. Patrizio T. 13. Rodriguez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Guerrero B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Lopez B. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,
63', Almanza F. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
67', Villalva L. 🟨,
70', Davila M. ↓, Herrera Jonathan N. ↑,
70', Guerrero B. ↓, Noble ↑,
76', Baldunciel L. ↓, Bogado J. ↑,
76', Silva J. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
76', Cesare L. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
84', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).

Deportivo Armenio is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Brown de Adrogué has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo Armenio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	42:38	4	60
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Armenio - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Brown de Adrogué - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
27.06.26	Deportivo Armenio - Ituzaingó	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Deportivo Armenio - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTWW
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
27.06.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Flandria	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Quilmes	2:4 ✺
13.06.26	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Brown de Adrogué - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.02.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Armenio	0:0
13.09.25	Deportivo Armenio - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
27.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Armenio	1:1
22.08.15	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Armenio	2:0
05.04.15	Deportivo Armenio - Brown de Adrogué	1:1

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