The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Quilmes 37.3%
Draw 32.9%
Deportivo Armenio 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
31.4%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
31%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Quilmes's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Armenio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Armenio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 16. Ceccotti M. 6. Cosciuc F. 3. Diez E. 5. Escudero L. 8. Filliol F. 9. Guzman L. 4. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 17. Pena D. 2. Zarate E.
1. Dominguez J. (G) 3. Avalos S. 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 11. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 8. Lagomarsino S. 4. Ortiz B. 5. Tello F. 7. Villalva L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Filliol F. ⚽,
36', Avalos S. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
45', Barreto R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vega M. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
47', Filosa L. 🟨,
51', Lagomarsino S. ↓, Suanez T. ↑,
59', Guzman L. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
70', Diez E. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
75', Villalva L. ↓, Perez O. ↑,
77', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 1.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Deportivo Armenio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Argentino de Quilmes might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
16
Argentino de Quilmes
38
9
16
13
30:37
-7
43
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.