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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 50.1%
Draw 29%
Ituzaingó 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
30%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
28%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Deportivo Armenio - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez J. (G) 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 11. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 9. Figueroa G. 8. Lagomarsino S. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 5. Tello F. (C) 7. Villalva L.
1. Barraza L. (G) 3. Barea T. 5. Campusano M. 4. Fanti J. 8. Gras S. 2. Mantovani E. 9. Mariani B. 10. Mena L. (C) 11. Miranda A. 7. Regules I. 6. Salvadores J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Mena L. ⚽,
39', Barea T. 🟥,
42', Gras S. ↓, Politano A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marchesini F. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
53', Regules I. 🟨,
58', Mariani B. 🟨,
58', Almaza F. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Barrionuevo D. ⚽,
64', Almaza F. ↓, Perez O. ↑,
64', Mariani B. ↓, Ibanez E. ↑,
64', Mena L. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
70', Villalva L. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
71', Regules I. ↓, Bermejo M. ↑,
78', Davila M. ↓, Herrera Jonathan N. ↑,
78', Tello F. ↓, Lagomarsino S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Herrera Jonathan N. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3.
Deportivo Armenio has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ituzaingó has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo Armenio is considered a favorite.
We predict that Deportivo Armenio will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Watch
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Dominguez J. (G) 
Miranda A. 
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