Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 12Date: 27 June 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
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Deportivo Capiatá |
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Sportivo Carapeguá |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.77 |
3.40 |
3.80 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.35 |
3.95 |
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 |
1.85 |
3.45 |
3.89 |
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1.77 |
3.44 |
4.67 |
 Watch |
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1.78 |
3.35 |
3.70 |
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1.84 |
3.40 |
3.80 |
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1.77 |
3.35 |
3.90 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.76) |
3.39 ↓
(3.46) |
3.96 ↓
(4.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Deportivo Capiatá
50.4% | Draw
26.7% | Sportivo Carapeguá
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-2.7%)Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Escurra J. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Bareiro A. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, Quintana J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 47', 3 - 1, Gaona W. ⚽,
- 56', 🟥,
- 70', 3 - 2, Acosta D. ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 2, Benitez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+4', 5 - 2, Moreno C. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Capiatá won 2.Deportivo Capiatá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Carapeguá is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Deportivo Capiatá is a strong favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Capiatá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Capiatá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Sp. Carapegua | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 39 |
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| 12 | Dep. Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31:37 | -6 | 29 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Paraguayan Division Intermedia | | | 04.10.25 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Capiatá | 2:2 | | 30.06.25 | Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá | 1:1 | | Paraguayan Primera Division | | | 03.11.13 | Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá | 3:1 | | 21.08.13 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Capiatá | 3:2 | | 02.06.13 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Capiatá | 0:2 | | 31.03.13 | Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Carapeguá | 2:0 |
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