Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 10Date: 31 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Tacuary |
|
Sportivo Carapeguá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.78 |
3.05 |
2.35 |
|
 |
2.87 |
3.2 |
2.46 |
|
 |
3.05 |
2.87 |
2.54 |
 Watch |
 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.38 |
|
 |
2.96 |
2.98 |
2.34 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.64) |
3 ↓
(3.12) |
2.41 ↓
(2.64) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tacuary
31.6% | Draw
30.5% | Sportivo Carapeguá
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Valdez A. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 1, Galeano L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 2 - 2, Galeano L. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 3.Recent performances by Tacuary have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).Carapeguá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Tacuary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Tacuary won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7 | Sp. Carapegua | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 | Tacuary | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
|
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
