Match Info

Primera C - Round 22

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Español		Leones de Rosario

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.55	2.90
	2.48	2.75	2.85
	2.65	2.60	3.19
	2.60	2.54	3.18	Watch
	2.60	2.30	3.15
	2.53	2.63	3.42
	2.55	2.55	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.25)	2.56 ↓ (2.88)	3.1 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Español
35.3%

Draw
35.4%

Leones de Rosario
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

31.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

30.2%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Español's performance.

Leones de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones de Rosario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Español that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Rosario than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones de Rosario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Español - Leones de Rosario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Martinez E. H. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Deportivo Español is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leones de Rosario has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leones de Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Español won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Español - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.58%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
25.07.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Español	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Deportivo Español - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Deportivo Español - Cañuelas	0:1 ✺
06.07.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Deportivo Español	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLTW
- Leones de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
25.07.26	Leones de Rosario - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Leones de Rosario	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Leones de Rosario - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	El Porvenir - Leones de Rosario	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Fénix - Leones de Rosario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
04.04.26	Leones de Rosario - Deportivo Español	1:1

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