The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Español 39.2%
Draw 34.2%
Victoriano Arenas 26.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.1%
31.6%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
29%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Español, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Deportivo Español - Victoriano Arenas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fernandez M. 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
Deportivo Español is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Español won 2.
Deportivo Español has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Victoriano Arenas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Victoriano Arenas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Deportivo Español is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Español has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:5 (averaging 1:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Español against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Victoriano Arenas - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.27%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.