The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Porvenir 33.3%
Draw 34.6%
Leones de Rosario 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
32.1%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
31.8%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Leones de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones de Rosario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Rosario than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones de Rosario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Porvenir - Leones de Rosario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
El Porvenir has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Leones de Rosario is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leones de Rosario will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, El Porvenir won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
El Porvenir - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.46%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.