Match Info

Date: 20 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)

Referee: Marmol E. (Ven)


	Deportivo Lara		Academia Puerto Cabello

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.18	3	3.15
	2.22	2.93	3.13
	2.35	2.88	3.1
	2.26	3.13	3.14	Watch
	2.16	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.39)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	3.12 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
40.8%

Draw
30.3%

Academia Puerto Cabello
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

32%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Deportivo Lara aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	35.7%	42.9%

Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puerto Cabello: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 1.

Recent matches Deportivo Lara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Puerto Cabello is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.10.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Deportivo Lara - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0 ✺
06.10.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
02.10.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Zulia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLW
- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.10.22	Deportivo Táchira - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
06.10.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
02.10.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
06.10.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:1
30.07.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:2
23.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2
30.09.21	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:3
12.08.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	1:3
24.06.21	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2
06.05.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	0:3

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