The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Táchira 42.3%
Draw 29.4%
Academia Puerto Cabello 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
29.3%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
27.9%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Táchira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Táchira - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Araque A. (G) 88. Alfonzo D. 4. Fratta G. 13. Camacho P. (C) 2. Sanchez J. 25. Perez A. 24. Caraballo J. 10. Sosa C. 7. Penaranda A. 11. Woiski A. 9. Pollero R.
1. Graterol J. (G) 26. Ramos J. (C) 29. Vargas J. 14. Bortagaray G. 16. Rosales R. 5. Gonzalez G. 8. Moreno J. 17. Martinez J. 15. Saggiomo D. 19. Castillo J. 11. Pernia E.
Substitutes
21. Adamo V. 37. Duarte Arias J. D. 23. Hernandez O. 3. Lusnig L. 31. Mendez C. 14. Palmezano B. 45. Provenzano F. 70. Ramirez H. 44. Tamiche E. 30. Vargas E. (G) 41. Wilches W. 27. Zuniga L.
30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 31. Hernandez J. 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 20. Marchan J. 44. Melendez G. 28. Osorio D. 9. Ponce A. 55. Romero L. (G) 4. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Recoba A.
Sarago E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Pernia E. ⚽, Saggiomo D. (A),
39', Sosa C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
46', Perez A. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
53', Vargas J. ↓, Casiani L. ↑,
57', Pernia E. 🟨,
63', Woiski A. ↓, Ramirez H. ↑,
63', Penaranda A. ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
63', Pernia E. ↓, Flores Barrios R. D. ↑,
63', Rosales R. ↓, Melendez G. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. (Own goal),
77', Saggiomo D. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
77', Moreno J. ↓, Marchan J. ↑,
78', Casiani L. 🟨,
84', Flores Barrios R. D. 🟨,
86', Caraballo J. ↓, Mendez C. ↑,
87', Pollero R. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
90', Alfonzo D. ↓, Provenzano F. ↑,
90+2', Ramos J. 🟨,
90+4', Palmezano B. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Deportivo Táchira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Táchira won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Dep. Tachira
11
7
2
2
24:14
10
23
3
Puerto Cabello
11
5
4
2
15:9
6
19
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Táchira - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.62%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.