Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Complejo Deportivo Socialista (Carabobo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)


	Academia Puerto Cabello		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.85	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.63
	2.68	2.52	2.99
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.44	2.93	3.04	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.92)	2.72 ↓ (2.92)	2.89 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Puerto Cabello
35.4%

Draw
33.3%

Deportivo Lara
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Deportivo Lara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Lara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Lara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	42.1%	15.8%

Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puerto Cabello: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Cabello won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Puerto Cabello won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Cabello won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.10.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1 ✺
14.09.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Aragua - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWL
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.10.22	Deportivo Lara - Deportivo Táchira	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Zulia	3:0 ✺
13.09.22	Caracas - Deportivo Lara	1:2 ✺
09.09.22	Deportivo Lara - Mineros de Guayana	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Monagas - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
30.07.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	3:2
23.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2
30.09.21	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:3
12.08.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	1:3
24.06.21	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2
06.05.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	0:3
21.11.20	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.10.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	✺

Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Lara