Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Promocional Amateur - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday


	Deportivo Metalúrgico		Deportivo Camioneros

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.49
	5.44	4.29	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (3.77)	4.2 ↑ (3.58)	1.5 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Metalúrgico
17.5%

Draw
21.7%

Deportivo Camioneros
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

25.8%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Metalúrgico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Metalúrgico's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Camioneros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Camioneros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Metalúrgico than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Metalúrgico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Camioneros than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Camioneros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Dalul A. 🟥,
31', 0 - 1, Campoamor Y. U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).

Recent matches Deportivo Metalúrgico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Camioneros is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Camioneros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo Camioneros is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Metalúrgico
Argentinian Torneo Promocional Amateur
30.04.24	Defensores de Glew - Deportivo Metalúrgico	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Deportivo Metalúrgico - Estrella del Sur	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Juventud de Bernal - Deportivo Metalúrgico	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Deportivo Metalúrgico - Barrancas UMET	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Deportivo Provincial - Deportivo Metalúrgico	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTT
- Deportivo Camioneros
Argentinian Torneo Promocional Amateur
02.05.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Estrella del Sur	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Torneo Promocional Amateur
24.04.24	Barrancas UMET - Deportivo Camioneros	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.04.24	Huracán Las Heras - Deportivo Camioneros	0:3 ✺
14.04.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWL

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