The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Mixco 52.5%
Draw 25.4%
UMECIT 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
26%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
21.9%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Mixco's performance.
UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Mixco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UMECIT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Mixco - UMECIT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (C) 37. Yanes A. 33. Sotomayor J. 3. Moreno M. 16. Urizar J. 10. Arce G. 17. Cuero Fabian 26. Jerry 9. L. Garcia 99. Martinez N. 11. Pozuelos Y.
1. Almengor D. (G) 9. Murillo J. 23. Chanis E. (C) 26. Araya J. 27. Garcia A. 7. Peralta H. 22. Palmezano A. 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 6. Fuentes J. 8. Batista R. 17. Edwards A.
Substitutes
18. Bolanos J. 25. Cruz J. 2. Flores N. 7. Garcia E. 6. Jimenez C. 8. Lemus K. 12. Marquez J. 14. Marroquin R. 5. Mendez D. 1. Mendoza M. (G) 23. Padilla M. (G) 32. Reyes E.
21. Almanza O. 62. Casazola M. 3. Delgado J. 77. Diaz A. 14. Ford R. 10. Gomez E. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 65. Lazo L. (G) 2. Noville C. 92. Oliveira D. 11. Rodriguez E. 19. Saldana A.
Coaches
Benitez F.
Infante J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
12', Batista R. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Martinez N. ⚽, Pozuelos Y. (A),
20', 2 - 0, L. Garcia ⚽, Pozuelos Y. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Martinez N. ⚽, Arce G. (A),
27', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
34', 4 - 0, Pozuelos Y. ⚽, L. Garcia (A),
37', Garcia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moreno M. ↓, Flores N. ↑,
49', Sotomayor J. ↓, Jimenez C. ↑,
57', Murillo J. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
57', Garcia A. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
60', 4 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽,
65', L. Garcia ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
65', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
71', Fuentes J. 🟨,
71', Arce G. ↓, Lemus K. ↑,
75', Edwards A. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
76', Palmezano A. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
86', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
Preview
Mixco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
UMECIT has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
UMECIT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mixco is a strong favorite.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.