Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán (Mixco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala


	Deportivo Mixco		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.35	4.75
	1.83	3.24	4.44
	1.84	3.36	4.36	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.81	3.55	4.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.32 ↑ (3.27)	4.41 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Mixco
51.5%

Draw
27.7%

Xelajú
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (G) 2. Flores N. 7. Garcia E. 32. Gonzalez F. 24. Gonzalez O. 29. Jerry 99. Martinez N. 3. Moreno M. 25. Reyes Gonzalez E. J. 9. Rocha K. 16. Urizar J.	1. Silva D. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 23. Calderon R. 11. Cardenas S. 16. Cardona J. 18. Castaneda J. 14. Gonzalez J. 10. Lopez A. 24. Marquez R. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 13. Tebalan W.
Substitutes
10. Arce G. 18. Bolanos J. 61. Lemus K. 12. Marquez J. 15. Marroquin R. 5. Mendez D. . Moreira M. 23. Padilla M. (G) . Quinones E.	26. Cardoza E. 6. de Leon M. 28. de Oliveira C. 7. Diaz Y. 29. Escobar J. 5. Gordillo G. 22. Lobos N. (G) 77. Longo J. 17. Ochaeta D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Rocha K. 🟨,
14', Cardona J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Martinez N. ⚽,
38', Calderon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Marquez R. ↓, Ochaeta D. ↑,
57', Reyes Gonzalez E. J. ↓, Lemus K. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Rocha K. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
64', Rocha K. ↓, Quinones E. ↑,
64', Garcia E. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
74', Jerry 🟨,
76', Martinez N. 🟨,
80', Jerry ↓, Arce G. ↑,
90+1', Cardenas S. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Arce G. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Mixco is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mixco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18
6	Deportivo Mixco	11	6	0	5	19:17	2	18

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Mixco - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.04.26	Deportivo Mixco - Marquense	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Mixco	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Mixco	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTW
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.04.26	Xelajú - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Marquense - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	1:3 ✺
19.03.26	Xelajú - Municipal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.02.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	2:1
17.10.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	1:2
09.08.25	Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú	2:1
09.04.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	1:1
05.02.25	Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú	0:0
01.12.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	1:0
28.11.24	Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú	0:0

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