The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Pasto 47.4%
Draw 28.6%
Fortaleza CEIF 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
29.6%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
29%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Cardozo L. (G) 21. De la Hoz D. 27. Quinones C. 29. Angel S. 22. Olarte A. 13. Erazo V. (C) 8. Chaves D. 15. Hernandez A. 10. Garzon S. 7. Preciado M. 9. Paez Zea K. S.
1. Manrique M. (G) 3. Martinez M. 2. Bohorquez S. 27. Henao S. 10. Garzon K. 13. Cardenas N. 14. Aroca L. (C) 24. Peralta L. 8. Murcia S. 17. Puertas K. 5. Olivares L.
Substitutes
4. Marin S. 25. Pulgarin L. 33. Rodriguez Garcia L. 11. Romero K. 12. Velasco L.
21. Agudelo S. 19. Alonso N. 12. Callejas I. (G) 20. Collazos S. 15. Saenz M. 11. Santana D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
35', Garzon S. 🟨,
35', Aroca L. 🟨,
38', Erazo V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Henao S. ↓, Collazos S. ↑,
46', Cardenas N. ↓, Saenz M. ↑,
46', Murcia S. ↓, Santana D. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Santana D. ⚽, Puertas K. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Olivares L. ⚽, Collazos S. (A),
62', Garzon S. ↓, Pulgarin L. ↑,
62', De la Hoz D. ↓, Romero K. ↑,
76', Puertas K. ↓, Alonso N. ↑,
76', Peralta L. ↓, Agudelo S. ↑,
89', Erazo V. ↓, Marin S. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 13).
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Pasto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.