Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Santiago de las Atalayas (Yopal)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Pereira		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	6.50	3.80	1.55	Watch
	6.00	3.80	1.51
	7.00	4.20	1.47	Watch
	6.16	4.12	1.58
	5.62	3.92	1.59	Watch
	5.65	4.05	1.56
	6.63	3.87	1.58	Watch
	6.00	3.85	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↑ (4.4)	3.95 ↑ (3.3)	1.55 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
15.2%

Draw
23.8%

Atlético Bucaramanga
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

28.5%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

27.6%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Betancourth J. (G) 15. Aguilar S. 2. Urrea S. 6. Ortiz D. 21. Pacheco W. (C) 3. Rengifo N. 14. Moreno E. 25. Delgado F. 20. Monroy J. 11. Largacha J. 13. Quinones Y.	25. Fiermarin C. (G) 3. Rea M. 23. Romana C. 24. Ortiz J. 6. Castrillon N. 21. Charrupi F. 28. Flores L. 8. Hinestroza F. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 27. Pons L. 17. Batalla E.
Substitutes
10. Acosta S. 19. Aguirre M. 23. Bovone T. 26. Montoya J. 27. Morales J. 18. Perez M. 7. Plata A. 17. Renteria R. 33. Zuluaga S. (G)	9. Caicedo B. 30. Cantillo V. 22. Fabry 4. Garcia J. 19. Gutierrez A. 7. Londono K. 5. Murrilo A. 12. Novoa D. (G) 11. Salazar J.
Coaches
Reyes A.	Peirano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Pons L. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Quinones Y. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Batalla E. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
45+5', Rea M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aguilar S. ↓, Acosta S. ↑,
46', Rea M. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
66', Flores L. ↓, Fabry ↑,
70', Monroy J. ↓, Plata A. ↑,
71', Moreno E. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
79', Pacheco W. 🟨,
81', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
81', Sambueza F. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
82', Largacha J. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Salazar J. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bucaramanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bucaramanga is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	20:10	10	23
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.21%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
06.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LTLWT
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
30.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:3 ✺
03.08.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
30.07.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
10.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	3:0
30.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1
14.03.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	0:1
12.10.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	1:1
02.06.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	3:1
04.05.24	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0
31.03.24	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2

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