Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Promocional Amateur - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Deportivo Provincial		Defensores de Glew

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.36	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)	3.12 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Provincial
42.8%

Draw
27.5%

Defensores de Glew
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Provincial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Defensores de Glew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Provincial than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Provincial that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Glew than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, RODRÍGUEZ T. E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, Cagliari T. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 11 and 10).

Recent matches Provincial is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensores de Glew is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Provincial will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Provincial
Argentinian Torneo Promocional Amateur
09.04.24	Juventud de Bernal - Deportivo Provincial	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Deportivo Provincial - Deportivo Metalúrgico	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Deportivo Provincial - Estrella de Berisso	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Deportivo Provincial - Náutico Hacoaj	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Deportivo Provincial	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWL
- Defensores de Glew
Argentinian Torneo Promocional Amateur
07.04.24	Defensores de Glew - Estrella de Berisso	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Atletico Pilar - Defensores de Glew	3:3 ✺
26.03.24	Defensores de Glew - Náutico Hacoaj	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Deportivo Camioneros - Defensores de Glew	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Defensores de Glew - Estrella del Sur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLLL

Deportivo Provincial - Defensores de Glew: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide