Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Riestra		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	2.55	2.65
	4.25	2.92	1.98
	4.5	2.95	2.03
	3.72	2.74	2.39
	4.35	2.95	1.95
	4.71	2.97	1.93	Watch
	4.2	2.9	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.38)	2.85 ↑ (2.84)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
23%

Draw
32.9%

Gimnasia La Plata
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

32.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

31.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Arzamendia M. (G) 35. Stringa A. 24. Mino F. 6. Gariglio I. 13. Gallo R. 36. Bracamonte M. 40. Obredor G. 16. Watson N. 27. Goitia J. (C) 21. Gonzalez T. 9. Benegas N.	15. Castillo H. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 13. German Conti 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 5. Miramon I. 10. Schelotto N. 18. Seoane M. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 19. Colazo A. 29. Auzmendi A.
Substitutes
1. Arce I. (G) 8. Celiz M. 11. Diaz A. 29. Graneros A. 20. Lauro T. 14. Monje P. 4. Murillo Yaison 22. Paz C. 18. Perez B. 5. Ramirez P. 10. Sanchez B. 15. Sansotre N.	33. Aguiar P. 31. Barros Schelotto B. 35. Cortazzo J. 23. Insfran N. (G) 17. Janson L. 36. Lamella L. 16. Max A. 22. Melluso M. 11. Merlo J. 7. Panaro M. 26. Torres F. 9. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Duro G.	Pereyra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Miramon I. 🟨,
18', Watson N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Benegas N. ⚽, Bracamonte M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Miramon I. ↓, Cortazzo J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Seoane M. ⚽,
67', Gallo R. ↓, Paz C. ↑,
67', Obredor G. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
70', Fernandez N. 🟨,
73', Schelotto N. ↓, Janson L. ↑,
73', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
76', Bracamonte M. ↓, Sansotre N. ↑,
76', Watson N. ↓, Monje P. ↑,
83', Stringa A. ↓, Celiz M. ↑,
83', Steimbach A. ↓, Merlo J. ↑,
84', Seoane M. ↓, Max A. ↑,
90+1', Max A. 🟥,
90+4', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Benegas N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Janson L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mino F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Auzmendi A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gonzalez T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Colazo A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Celiz M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Neutral location.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gimnasia La Plata could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Riestra - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.35%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.14%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Deportivo Riestra	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Defensa y Justicia - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Deportivo Riestra - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLLW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia La Plata	4:0 ✺
09.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Aldosivi - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Racing - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.25	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
10.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
20.09.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	2:1

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