Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.35	3.1	2.85
	2.44	3	2.96
	2.44	2.79	2.97
	2.38	3	2.88
	2.51	2.81	3.08
	2.34	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	2.92 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
38%

Draw
30.8%

Almeria B
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Toledo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Deportivo Toledo - Almeria B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gavilan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
58', 1 - 1, Sanchez L. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Fettal R. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, Romera J. M. ⚽,
90+1', Garrido I. 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 4, Milovanovic M. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Toledo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Toledo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Almeria B - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.06.24	Deportivo Toledo - Quintanar del Rey	2:1 ET ✺
02.06.24	Quintanar del Rey - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Toledo - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLWW
- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Almeria B - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.06.24	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Almeria B - Real Jaén	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Malaga B - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Almeria B - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.06.24	Almeria B - Deportivo Toledo	1:1

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