Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 14

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Quintanar del Rey

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.7	3.3
	2.19	2.8	3.5
	2.23	2.75	3.4
	2.23	2.77	3.46
	2.19	2.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.9)	2.76 ↑ (2.72)	3.43 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
40.8%

Draw
32.8%

Quintanar del Rey
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

33.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

35%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Toledo's form might have worsened.

Quintanar del Rey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quintanar del Rey's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Toledo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quintanar del Rey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Toledo - Quintanar del Rey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toledo won 2.

Toledo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Quintanar del Rey is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Quintanar del Rey could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toledo is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Toledo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Toledo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:6 (average 2.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
30.11.24	Manchego - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Tarancón - Deportivo Toledo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLTL
- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.12.24	Quintanar del Rey - Valdepeñas	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Azuqueca - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Quintanar del Rey - Manzanares	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Albacete B - Quintanar del Rey	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Quintanar del Rey - Huracán Balazote	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.06.24	Deportivo Toledo - Quintanar del Rey	2:1 ET
02.06.24	Quintanar del Rey - Deportivo Toledo	1:0
27.04.24	Deportivo Toledo - Quintanar del Rey	3:0
17.12.23	Quintanar del Rey - Deportivo Toledo	1:1
22.01.23	Quintanar del Rey - Deportivo Toledo	3:1
18.09.22	Deportivo Toledo - Quintanar del Rey	0:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
30.05.21	Deportivo Toledo - Quintanar del Rey	1:0

Deportivo Toledo - Quintanar del Rey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide