Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Atlético Tomelloso

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.43	4.05	7
	1.44	3.93	6.46
	1.4	4.1	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	4.07 ↑ (3.62)	6.85 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
64.5%

Draw
22.3%

Atlético Tomelloso
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Toledo's performance.

Atlético Tomelloso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tomelloso than the current prediction. (+4%)

Deportivo Toledo - Atlético Tomelloso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Toledo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toledo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Toledo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Toledo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.11.23	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Deportivo Toledo - La Solana	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLW
- CD Atlético Tomelloso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.11.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Cazalegas	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Villarrubia - Atlético Tomelloso	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Villarrobledo	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Azuqueca - Atlético Tomelloso	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.04.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Deportivo Toledo	0:2
04.12.22	Deportivo Toledo - Atlético Tomelloso	4:1
27.01.19	Atlético Tomelloso - Deportivo Toledo	0:1
09.09.18	Deportivo Toledo - Atlético Tomelloso	2:0

Deportivo Toledo - Atlético Tomelloso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide