Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano		Deportivo Toledo

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.7	2.5
	2.88	2.68	2.58
	3.03	2.74	2.55
	3	2.7	2.5
	2.88	2.71	2.53
	3.1	2.71	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.76)	2.71 ↓ (2.9)	2.52 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
30.7%

Draw
33.4%

Deportivo Toledo
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

31.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

30.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Vicens B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 🟥,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 1.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Calvo Sotelo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.12.25	Cazalegas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Huracán Balazote	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Guadalajara B - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Marchamalo	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Azuqueca - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWT
- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.12.25	Deportivo Toledo - San Clemente	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Illescas	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Manchego - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.03.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	0:0
27.10.24	Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0
28.03.24	Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	3:2
29.10.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	2:0
05.03.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	0:0
30.10.22	Deportivo Toledo - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.02.22	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	2:1

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