Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	TDMAX


	Deportivo Upala		Santa Cruz PFA

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.4	2.25
	2.83	3.45	2.21
	2.74	3.62	2.34	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.86	3.34	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.03)	3.4 ↓ (3.71)	2.25 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Upala
32.8%

Draw
26.8%

Santa Cruz PFA
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.2%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

25%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Upala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Upala than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Deportivo Upala - Santa Cruz PFA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

Deportivo Upala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santa Cruz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Santa Cruz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Upala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Upala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Upala
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
21.03.26	Sarchi - Deportivo Upala	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Upala - Quepos	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Upala	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo Upala - Cofutpa	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Municipal Grecia - Deportivo Upala	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
25.03.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Sarchi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Quepos - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Cofutpa - Santa Cruz PFA	3:3 ✺
07.03.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Municipal Grecia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
15.02.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Deportivo Upala	3:3
02.11.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Deportivo Upala	1:0
17.09.25	Deportivo Upala - Santa Cruz PFA	3:0

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